Jobs may be ready to step away from Apple, but not before completing the iPad as his magnum opus.
On smartphones, Apple was late to the market, but if there is another vendor doing a better job of currently defining what a smartphone is, I don’t know who they are. With smartbooks, a new class of product based on smartphone technology that looks like a netbook computer, the market hasn’t even really launched, and already Apple appears to be moving to define it.
Word is they are rushing to try to have a product into the market in the fourth quarter. Were this anyone else, I’d say they had a snowball’s chance in hell of making it, but this is Apple, which likely has a patent on hell snowballs, so let’s chat about the Apple iPad this week.
iPod Sales Slowing
In what was a stellar quarter last quarter from Apple, the one really troubling mark was that iPod sales were slowing. Now, part of this was Apple drawing down inventories in advance of what will likely be a broad product refresh in August or early September, but I think it reflects on the fact that people are focusing more and more on smartphones, and not as excited about MP3 players as they once were. This suggests that Apple needs to move to the next big thing after the iPod, and while they are partially hedging this decline with the iPhone, it will probably be a long time (if ever) before iPhones will ever replace iPods.
Apple needs something exciting this year, and what better than something new and very different.
Steve Jobs both panned the idea of a Newton and a tablet PC, and strangely enough, the iPhone, iPod Touch and now this planned iPad are all combinations of both concepts. The iPad is likely the closest to what the Newton was evolving into given its size and capabilities, and the rumored design is identical to a tablet PC, albeit a small one.
If this were anybody else, I’d figure the chances that this will be successful to be slim or none, but Apple’s iPod Touch and iPhone have a user interface that will at least scale to 10 inches (the rumored screen size of this new device), and should work just fine.
Content is Key: Overcoming The Apple TV Problem
The problem for Apple, much like it was for the iPod, which it got done, and Apple TV, which it didn’t, is getting access to the media folks want to watch and play with on the device. It will be about the size of a Kindle DX, but it will need a decent book library if it is going to be used in that fashion. Luckily, there is a Kindle reader already for the iPhone and iPod Touch, but even Amazon doesn’t have perfect access (for instance, the Harry Potter books aren’t available on a Kindle). And Apple has never wanted anyone else to own the critical services on any of their devices in the first place.

Apple TV
This would be a great portable movie and TV viewer as well, but the lack of great content is what has plagued the AppleTV and kept it from joining the iPod, iPhone, and iMac on stage as a truly innovative product. Without decent video content, this just won’t scale to the kind of audience that the iPod or even the iPhone will enjoy. This is probably the most troubling aspect for Apple, because it didn’t really pull this off for Apple TV, and this may suggest the company can’t actually get it done this time either.
Price: Purchase and Wireless
Price will be important too, and it is hard to believe that many of these things will sell at the rumored $800 price. Smartbooks are actually expected to price out below $300 for the most part, and even if Apple were to go for a massive margin, you would think it could bring one out for under $600, if not $500, and hit a price that more would find compelling while still at the high end of the segment. With folks screaming about a sub-$500 Kindle, an $800 device would be difficult to move.
One final problem to work though is wireless access. The Kindle’s bundled HSDPA access from Sprint is wonderful, but it adds several hundred dollars to the price of the device, and putting the iPad on a data plan from a carrier like AT&T would potentially allow an iPhone-like sub-$300 price point. But it would also add a $50 or higher data plan.
These expensive data plans remain problematic, but Wi-Fi isn’t prevalent enough, WiMax isn’t widespread enough, and LTE hasn’t been rolled out yet, which will make the connectivity solution a real problem to solve.
Wrapping Up
If the iPod was a difficulty level of six, and the iPhone was eight, then the iPad will be something like 10 on a scale of one to 10. This will be one of the most difficult products Apple has ever tried to bring to market. Any other company would probably fail, but Apple isn’t any other company. Even if it fails, Apple will have created a potentially unique and advanced offering which could easily blaze the trail for more successful products to follow. I wouldn’t bet on Apple to fail, though. It does that very seldom, and given this may be Steve Jobs’ swan song product, there likely will be more emphasis on getting it right than on any product that came before it.
Given that we tend to remember either the first thing someone does or the last (it’s called primacy or recency) and we think of Steve Jobs now more as the father of the iPhone than the father of the Mac, there is a good chance he will be remembered for this iPad. For his sake, (and for the sake of his employees, given he doesn’t have a sense of humor on this stuff) this had better be a home run.
We’ll see. One thing is for sure: It will be incredibly exciting and I’ll bet Steve, if he can, will actually present this one. You see, this thing could actually become an eBook, smartphone, and netbook killer, and if it did, what a swan song for Steve it would be.





















Showing 143 comments
RSSi like it later i buy one
http://www.myapple-ipad.co.uk/cpad-apple-ipad-c...
Having had a search around which stores are going to be selling the iPad in the UK, it looks like it's not just going to be the Apple Store and Amazon.
Play.com are already advertising that you can register your interest to pre-order. More stores will hopefully mean some competition on price eventually.
Meanwhile I am going to wait until the actual device comes out to find out how long the battery lasts with wireless and whispernet off and no web browsing or game playing to see how it stacks up as an e-Reader.
If the iPad can display all my RSS feeds as automatically as Apple Mail can, then I would be sorely tempted to buy the 16GB model just to do that and have a lot of other stuff available as well. On the other hand, I fully expect the next Kindle to be in Mirasol Color or some other color screen. Not as vivid as the iPad, but a month on a single charge far outweighs the advantages of the iPad, also ability to read outside, which I do a lot of in the warmer months.
Tablet PC accessories
One for our son who needs a device in school for internet, e-mail and word processing/spreadsheet/presentations. One for the wife who wants to surf the web, read books and do e-mail and one for for me to the same (at the same time normally). We have been reading books on laptops in the past ~10 years and have never had the "eye-strain" that everyone is talking about.
We are getting three of these instead of laptops, since we have a computer as hub were things like movie and photo editing, 3D stuff, and server of content.
We really just see the iPad as a nice, easy and inexpensivew way of handling the everyday tasks that used to require a PC. And to do it without the headache that a PC with 100+ weird settings gives (that goes for netbooks too).
So it fits perfectly for us.
http://www.theipadcafe.com
John
www.itsdacinch.com.au
http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/200...
http://tinyurl.com/8h3fto
"In 1999, with a cash balance of *over* $3 billion, Apple paid off $650 million in debt that wasn’t due until 2001."
You have offered no link or 'facts' to your ridiculous assertions. I have blown all of yours out of the water.
Good nite dad!
lol.. 4 billion in cash.. good luck with that pipe dream
apple did not have 4 billion in cash you clown they were going down for the count! blew it out of proportion!?!?!? they only own 3% of the computing market and the same today!?!? they have no clue! if it wasn't for bill gates apple would have been gone! in 2008 hey lost money in desktop and laptop sales by selling only a few million and lost hundreds of millions, dell sells more in a month! get a clue, apple is rotten to the core and they didn't have the ipod that company would be an equivelant of apple pie!
i wish that adobe says "we are dropping all support for macs across or lineup!"
that loser is now trying to get quicktime to be a standard on the web and squeeze out adobe flash.
freakin macheads have no clue! you walk around like zombies and listen to jobs say "the consumer doesnt know what they want, you have to tell them what they want!"
dumb sheep!
I downloaded 1 app since i have been using windows mobile and thats skyfire.. nothing else!
wait! i downloaded shazam too.. 2 apps! woohoo!
iphone is a toy son and nothing else
Microsoft would never dare drop Office for Mac, not while in the middle of being scrutinized by the Justice Dept. LOL
http://tinyurl.com/yjezy8h
It's no wonder Apple ranks 4th largest company in the world (market cap). Google is 6th.
http://tinyurl.com/ygjegou
http://tinyurl.com/lyx4ho
apple barely sold half of what windows mobile license totals of 18 million plus and nokia owns 55% of the market.
wow.. do yourself a favor don't respond please
http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/kit-eaton/techn...
In addition, the app marketplace for 2009 was 95% owned by Apple. Android has a lot of catching up to do.
The iPad can come with 3G. Unlimited data plan for $30. Compare to Verizon at $60 for laptop 3G.
VoIP software such as Skype now supports 3G. That means you can get and make calls from the iPad.
BTW, you can run Windows 7 on the iPad (via a cloud computing solution already announced). Someone will do the same to run OS X and other OS's on it, so multitasking on another server from your iPad will be possible.
http://www.ipadinsider.com/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/47043024@N02/
glad i didnt run jump on the iwagon the apple company if not steve jobs is ilost.
just a really big iphone
It's not trying to replace the iPhone (would be quite stupid of Apple...) nor the laptops, it tries to be more of a netbook replacement. We'll see how it goes...
and then we will get iDoAll ... a device which combines everything where you even change the size of the screen :)
http://www.totallytampontalking.com
Remember, another company trademarked the name iPad even before Fujitsu, it was for a door keypad ;)
another thing: you will be able to listen to music and use apps simultaneously, like on the iphone.
there are also apps that allow messenger+internet browsing so that won't be a problem either.
windows tablets have been around for years.
So I guess in a way I agree with that - it wont kill smartphones, it doesn't have to, or try to - its a different product.
Viliv S10
Netbook Navigator 891A-NN
Stantum Slate
...Point is, there are much better options out there.
It can multitask and run more than one app at a time.
It also has the Kindle on it and other ebook platforms.
In the last 24 hours I seen and heard about the iPad on every radio and TV channel I've tuned to. It takes more than just a good product to gain mass appeal.
You won't pay, but the majority of consumers will, that enjoy continued satisfaction in the end-to-end experience Apple brings to the market. iPad will be around long after other attempts are faded blog entries.
No GPS, No webcam, Only 64GB at max? Give us SD card slot at least apple. No, I don't want to use dongle. I want it to be built in. Hell with you, apple.
I have an Ipod Touch already. Now I am looking at laptops since the magic of this announcement is gone!
http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/kit-eaton/techn...
By the way, when steve jobs was doing all the designing before rubinsteins, apple was going out of business. Then steve jobs begged gates for 150 million and office for mac os.
All you macheads can kiss gates butt for saving a defunct company. Guess who's in charge of design?
Steve Jobs said it's a wonder to type on also. Can someone tell me how do you type on this screen comfortably? You just cant! Maybe you don' know muc about this but nokia has an internet tablet also http://www.mobiletechreview.com/nokia-770.htm
Yes, Nokia is still laughing, so is blackberry and Microsoft (the makers of Windows Mobile). The iphone is a toy in abusiness market that still dominates it. Blackberry is still selling 15 million+ a year, Microsoft is still selling 18+ wm licenses a year while apple is averaging 9 million a year and over 80% of their customer are macheads that would buy their junk not matter what.
Apple till this day has not gotten away from any of rubinsteins (now with palm) designs because they know they will not design any better.
Lame.
A tablet without handwriting? Who thought that one up? I always thought that was the whole point of a tablet.
No multitasking? When was the last time anyone saw a computer that can't even walk and chew gum? 1997?
No Flash? No Java? Can't even display Apple's own website.
No stylus? Can't draw. Can't write.
Removable battery? Forget it.
Just what is the point of this piece of utter rubbish? Lets face it. That's exactly what it is.
iPad? iFad more like. iPass.
Saw they will have a docking sation available with a keyboard attached. So it will transform into a...wait for it.....a $1000 net book. taadaaa. Wait a netbook without a usb. BRILLIANT!!!!!
Get an iPod, give it to magician and ask to increase its height and breadth... waste of time to view the launching...
Instead of having a picture frame of endlessly looping still frames, now grandparents can enjoy endless footage of their squealing grandkids frollicking about the various summery water playgrounds of the world that their cashed up parents have taken them..
I'd add that, there looks to be a lot of glass to break if one were actually thinking of carrying this anywhere :/
I think I'll wait for an OLED flexible screen device from a more boring company myself..
enough said..
Get the latest iPad news at http://ipadsupersite.com
ipad-source.com
Directly from that site:
made for : Touchscreen, Kiosk Terminals, Public PCs, Homecomputer/Laptop
Have a try on google.... close to nothing.
Best I found - http://touchpdf.esferatec.com/
Does it even do multitasking?
I saw in the specs page that it only read very specific video format!!!! Do Apple know how long it takes to convert a full movie!! Why do they keep avoiding to be user friendly!!!
i got my iphone for movies - music and phone , why would i need something else for whilst im on the move...
otherwise i have my laptop which is way worth more to carry round than a slow processing thing!!
stupid and pricey invention that doesnt make sense!!!
major faillageee
How on earth is it going to replace a full sized computer given that it can't run multiple applications at one time?
And no support for peripheral hardware? Can't it have a usb port?
What Apple really brings to the table is super-hyped ad campaigns with the press following behind. I work for a living, so I won't pay a big bonus for the Apple netbook or the expensive apps to run on it.
You must have a sweet job if you think that. Smartphone killer... ha!