Market research firm iSuppli is forecasting that total sales for the Nintendo Wii will surpass the Xbox 360 during 2008...and the PS3 will surpass them both in 2011.
Market analysis firm iSuppli is forecasting that total sales of the Nintendo Wii will surpass total sales of Microsoft’s Xbox 360 during 2008—something of a feat, since the Xbox 360 had a full year’s head start on the upstart Nintendo console.
iSuppli anticipates the worldwide installed base for the Nintendo Wii will reach 30.2 million in 2008, well ahead of the expected installed base of 25.7 million fo the Xbox 360. iSuppli attribute’s the Wii’s success to its emphasis on casual gaming and efforts to appeal to non-traditional gamers.
"The Wii’s performance illustrates the success of Nintendo’s strategy of targeting casual users with an inexpensive console and entertaining titles, rather than addressing hard-core gamers by offering highly sophisticated and spectacular titles and systems," said iSuppli multimedia content research analyst Pam Tufegdzic, in a statement.
Although predicting the video game console market four years from now is a chancy thing, iSuppli is also forecasting the installed base for Sony’s PlayStation 3 will eclipse the Wii in 2011, with an estimated installed base of 38.4 million systems. By 2011, iSuppli estimates the total installed base of the Wii will be 37.7 million units, and the Xbox 360 will have an installed base of about 32.3 million units in 2011. In other words, the split between the three "next generation" video game consoles will be about even…of course, by then, we’ll probably be dealing with "next-next generation" consoles.
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RSSLife Time Sales:
Xbox360: 32 million shipped (Global)
Ps3: 45 million shipped (Global)
Wii: 160 million shipped (Global)
Why? I figured in these things: price point, interface, hype and name sake.
If Iwata succesfully regrasps the hardcore crowd like he intends to this year (2008) Then that want for the Wii will go up at least 20% more. (Year End) Keeping to this ideal, more developers will shift to where more people are.
The next majority is the Casual crowd, they will probably find the PS3 interesting for its blue-ray play back, and find some games interesting also.
Life time = 2011.
I'll make this clear, the Wii can never make 160 million mainly because their having trouble keeping up with demand. 1 out of 12 people switch to buying another Console now rather than wait for supply.