The Death of Free: Will Free Online Content Like Hulu Ever Dry Up?

Hulu Free Content

Enjoy your free online movies, music and TV shows on the web while you can. We explore whether the free online content model used by companies like Hulu could disappear as more lucrative paid models flourish.

Did your father ever tell you there’s no such thing as a free lunch? Well, most of today’s industry experts would probably agree with him. The idea of “free” has become extremely controversial in the technology industry, especially in the case of online content. Rumors that favorite show streaming website Hulu will be charging for all of their content has most online-media-viewing junkies scared stiff. Sources for Hulu, after reaping the backlash of complaints, deny the rumors and say turning the service into a pay-only site is just not in the cards. Fair enough, but what happens when Hulu and other sites get desperate? Ad sales are down, magazines and newspapers aren’t selling, and people are only accessing “free” web content. Will these poor economic conditions and lack of advertising force more web publishers into a pay-only frenzy?

Our sources say no. Rafat Ali, Publisher and Editor of the online news site paidContent.org, thinks we’ve come full circle and things will start looking up for online news sites and businesses. The Hulu rumors have been circling for months and Ali thinks there may be a slight truth to all the madness. “If they’re going to charge, it will be for high-value content,” he says. “But realistically, Hulu will not change and the majority of the shows people are watching for free will remain free.” He thinks very few sites will be charging for their content, and if they do then it will be highly specialized content. Ali says that in 2002 people had the same scare and everyone thought they’d have to pay to access sites, but that was just a phase. “The market came back soon after and advertising picked up again,” he says. Ali sees the same forecast for today’s scenario.

Plastic Logic eReaderInterestingly, Ali believes the real problem lies within our idea of “free.” Now that society is piquing with mobility, people are accessing more media on mobile devices like netbooks and smartphones—Ali reminds us that we pay service fees for these devices, for its apps, and the media content viewed—making the definition of free a little obsolete. He also sees this paradox with eReaders because the eReaders coming out are charging for their eBooks. And even a free eBook from the Web is going onto a very expensive eReader device. Ali thinks the idea that free content is completely and totally “free” is a little too optimistic. “The marginal cost may be zero, but the cost of production isn’t,” he says. “Content creators still need to get paid.”

Similarly, Outsell’s Affiliate Analyst Ken Doctor thinks America is seriously lacking good news sites and news stories because of our nation’s demand for fast and free content. “Americans are getting about 800,000 fewer news stories due to staff cuts,” he says. The mania surrounding free content is taking a toll on the readers. Doctor believes that today’s web content isn’t as high-quality as it should be because of our ubiquitous nature to publish “free” content. He says many people don’t realize that promoting free content is also promoting cheap, low quality content. “Free content only changed the distribution aspect of information, but the problem is the people making that content still need to get paid,” he claims.

Showing 24 comments

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  7. Ian Bell at 2:08pm 15th December 2009 Interesting that you should say that. We did a whole series on tech in the year 2020. Not sure if we wrote about the internet, but chances are its there:

    http://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/in-the-y...

    Parts 2 and 3 are linked there as well
  8. gaylordcohen at 1:58pm 15th December 2009 It would be VERY interesting to see what the internet will look like in the year 2020. With new technologies being developed every day...I think it will look like something out of a sci-fi movie...oh, but we shall see, we shall see....
  9. gaylordcohen at 1:50pm 15th December 2009 My wife and I pay about $75 per month for cable TV service, which includes home phone and high-speed internet access. Our provider is Comcast. Yes, I remember "free TV" from back in the day, before cable came along. I guess when we're old and grey (knock on wood), someone is bound to ask us, "do you remember the internet?" Of course by then, either the internet will be gone and replaced by something else, or it will become so expensive...I don't know what we'll do...maybe most of us will be forced to go BACK to READING PAPER BOOKS! LOL ;-)
  10. Online TV at 9:34am 15th December 2009 I think text content from independent writers will continue to be free, but major publishers will tend to sway towards some form of mixed advertising and membership business models. Perhaps offering something like 250 words free, and the rest requiring membership or some form of 1 time payment/trial offer to supplement their ad revenues.

    The Internet is in it's infancy, and remember that TV channels used to be offered for free as a method to create demand for television sets. Basically they were selling television sets, but they needed content on the medium so that people buying television sets would be interested. They offered it free back then, but now it's something you have to pay for.ht
  11. ABProsper at 2:33pm 14th December 2009 Its going to be hard to sell content while 20% of the population is unemployed or underemployed.
  12. TG at 11:56am 14th December 2009 @jodepoley

    I could not agree more with you in most of what you said and to add a little it is all about squeezing as much money as they can out of advertisers and consumers. I understand the fact that they need revenue in order to make quality content but not everyone is willing to be trapped the way they want us to be. As long as there are choices, options and competition which is to our advantage we will have the ability to control how we get our programing. If they force us to a content monopoly that will be the day that they will see piracy raise to new heights. I am not saying that all people will stop paying for it but I will just find alternate methods to get what I want just like I am doing right now like I mentioned a few posts up. However I do agree with you...
  13. TG at 11:21am 14th December 2009 I would agree watch with ads for free or pay a convenience charge without ads. That is a very reasonable solution. I could care less about news on the TV since they are all biased. There is only one station I donate 5 dollars a month and that is PBS. Quality TV that I get for free and I choose to donate because they have quality content, non biased and the best cartoons and entertainment for kids. Hands Down the best channel for non violent and constructive content for kids. I will make no comment about how the news will be delivered in the future because that is all speculation. News will be delivered how the people choose or make them be delivered.
  14. jodepoley at 11:07am 14th December 2009 #1 Content is King. In all media (TV, movies, print, web, games) content drives business models.
    #2 Some of the largest corporations in the world control traditional content in vertical conglomerates (Fox, Vivendi, GE, Viacom) through owning movie, TV, print and game publishing companies.
    #3 They also attempt to control the market horizontally by owning production, distribution channels and retail. All in attempt to control content.
    #4 All of that being said - Murdoch realized that it was time to catch up on the Internet and make a move to control content in the newest media market in the same way he has controlled content in other markets.

    What we all know is that Fox is on the leading edge of a robust content "land grab" whereby media corporations will buy up and control large parts of the content on the Internet. The biggest player here is Google due to their control of the largest distribution channel - search. This "land grab" will determine who survives in the next 10 years. If you do not control a large percentage of content in the next 10 years then you are out of business.

    These corporations are going to buy up content, buy up personal data and lobby for more copy right law changes in order to gain control of the Internet. They see this as a game of survival....

    The consumer will be forced to subscribe to everything in a content monopoly much like cable is sold now. They problem that everyone in the industry is having right now is how to come up with a pricing model that will be profitable without fleecing the customer base.
  15. Ian Bell at 11:02am 14th December 2009 I agree with you, news is garbage. I do think there is a distinct difference between the WallStreet Journal and Huffington Post though. They are not equal, and the Huff Post simply rips off the content that the WSJ produces. Don't you feel that the WSJ should be compensated for doing the legwork though?
  16. dang at 10:52am 14th December 2009 I don't understand this comment....
  17. vvtempo at 10:30am 14th December 2009 OMGosh man, is this guy for real?? Wow.

    Jess
    www.total-privacy.es.tc
  18. gaby de wilde at 10:20am 14th December 2009 You are that guy with the Tee Vee?

    Please describe this quality content we keep hearing about Sir Bell, how does it work, do you put coins in it to get a programing? Does it have a 3 strikes out system? Any good wars on?
  19. aaron@digitalcole at 10:18am 14th December 2009 @Ian Bell, actually I've never paid for cable and until Netflix a couple years ago didn't even bother watching TV. If Hulu decided to go with a payed service, I'd just stop subscribing. It's just not worth it. I'm guessing that a site like that would more likely go with a tiered service (watch w/ads for free or pay for non/ad content) and that's ok with me.

    as for the article mentioning "quality" news is lacking, I call BS. Much of the "news" has always been over hyped mellow drama created to do nothing more then strike emotional cords. It offered nothing in the way of education or information. I'm personally much happier with getting my info from the web and for the record the future of news content isn't going to be one person telling you what to think or what's important. It's going to be twenty or thirty million people tweeting, blogging or posting video from their cells. That's the future of news.
  20. TG at 10:07am 14th December 2009 Speak for your self, the idea of double dipping is outrageous. That is the reason why I dropped them over 15 years ago. If I am ever going to pay for content, it better have no ads. Besides, most content is available online for free via legit online content providers. Some of it you might have to wait a little longer or even maybe a good while before it makes it into the proper channels online but it will get there.

    I have placed a really good antenna on my roof and right now i can get 42 OTA channels which provide me with probably a little less than 50% of what I used to watch. The rest I get it online via Hulu or Crackle. OTA custom PVR system = programing with no ads. Hulu and Cracke very limited ads and I do not mind the ads in Hulu or Crackle. They needs those ads to make money but, we as consumers do not get bombarded with useless ads like on cable. It is a fair trade. I do not have PPV, HBO, Showtime etc.. but I never needed those anyway and there is always netflix. My total cost of programing is 40 dollars a month including 5 meg down, 1 meg up connection, netflix and a custom voip solution. If I go via cable the same thing would cost me a lot more than that and I would a bundle of channels I am not even interested in. No thanks..
  21. Ian Bell at 9:02am 14th December 2009 I want to point out that a lot people claim they will never pay for content, especially on the web and I bet people said that when Cable TV was introduced. Now of course we are all paying for it.
  22. Ian Bell at 5:17pm 6th December 2009 Personally I have no problem paying for quality content. I would even pay a subscription each month AND still deal with the ads. But the content has to be worth it. Right now, I find there is very little compelling stuff out there.
  23. gaylordcohen at 2:48pm 6th December 2009 They say that Internet advertising is "making a comeback"....I say it never really went away. In spite of an economy that seems to be "falling apart," Internet advertising is still as vibrant as ever, and some people, despite "privacy concerns," are even welcoming web ads as part of the "total online experience," and so, at least for now, people should have nothing to worry about, as far as the future of free web content is concerned.

    A much more pressing concern facing internet users today, however, is the growing issue over what is known as "net neutrality," the idea that all internet traffic should flow freely, and be totally accessible to "all the people" of the world. If net neutrality "dies," the question of whether web content should be free-of-charge or not, could very well become moot, as "the elite," those in apparent control of the mass media, desperately seeking "total universal domination," may possibly somehow "create" an incident of some sort, perhaps a type of "cyber-9/11" network attack, and use that "false pretense" as an excuse to LOCK DOWN THE ENTIRE INTERNET, and seize control of it for their own twisted, selfish, greedy, and generally nefarious purposes! And when THAT happens, free or paid web content will NOT even matter to ANYONE anymore...and may heaven help us all! :-(
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