Skip to main content

Madden NFL 23’s Super Bowl LVII prediction couldn’t have been more wrong

Super Bowl LVII is over and it was one for the history books. An offensive shoot-out between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs made for a dramatic football game that culminated in a narrow victory for the Chiefs — though one that was a source of controversy thanks to a hotly debated holding call. Considering that the game’s pre-show panelists almost unanimously picked the Eagles to win, it’s safe to say the result was a little unpredictable.

And no one predicted it worse than Madden NFL 23.

Related Videos

Every year, EA simulates the Super Bowl match-up about a week before it happens. Sometimes its results can be close to getting it right. Other times, like last year’s entirely erroneous prediction which had the Bengals beating the Rams, it’s entirely removed from reality. The latter went down with Super Bowl LVII.

This year, Madden NFL 23 predicted that the Eagles would win 31-17. To the game’s credit, it did seem like that was a possibility for a moment. Heading into halftime, the score was 24-14 with the Eagles leading (the Chiefs would have had 17 had they not missed a field goal attempt in the first half). It was realistic to think that the defense on both sides would tighten up in the second half, holding the Eagles to one more touchdown and getting them to 31.

Madden 23 | Official Super Bowl LVII Prediction (feat. Chad Johnson)

That wasn’t the case. The Chiefs’ offense exploded in the second half, running up the score as the Eagles’ Jalen Hurts struggled to find the end zone. With two minutes left in the game, the score was locked at 35-35. A bit of sneaky metagaming from the Chiefs resulted in a last-second field goal, ending it at 38-35. Madden once again picked the wrong winner, but it also blew its prediction by simulating a one-sided blowout for Philadelphia.

Part of the problem is that the game managed to both under- and overestimate Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. While EA only released a few stats and plays in its simulation video, it did predict that Mahomes would throw an interception to C.J. Gardner-Johnson. In reality, the Chiefs didn’t turn over the ball the entire night (the Eagles did, though). Otherwise, it predicted Mahomes would only have one touchdown during the game; he threw three in the real game.

There is one thing the simulation got vaguely right when it came to Mahomes. It predicted a below-average game for the quarterback, guessing he’d have 249 passing yards — well below his season average. Mahomes did indeed underperform in that regard, but even more drastically. He walked away from the game with 182 passing yards with 21 completions out of 27 (Madden had him at 29 for 39).

A Chiefs and Eagles player run down the field in Madden NFL 23.

It was a little more accurate when it came to Jalen Hurts, predicting the Eagles star would earn 282 passing yards. He actually ended up with 304. It also nailed that Hurts would have a historic game when it came to rushing yards, though it was a little too overenthusiastic in that regard. The simulation had the quarterback with a whopping 88 rushing yards, which would have shattered a Super Bowl record. While Hurts didn’t reach those heights, he did in fact break the record for Super Bowl rushing yards with 66. Though perhaps no simulation could have predicted he’d get three rushing touchdowns on his own (Madden guessed he’d get one).

At the very least, it did get one player’s stats pretty close. The simulation predicted a good game for Eagles receiver A.J. Brown, with 114 yards and a touchdown to his name. Brown did indeed score one touchdown and hauled in 96 yards. The game had him catching eight passes, which wasn’t far off from the real number: six.

Overall, this year’s game was another loss for Madden’s annual simulation. Despite a stat or two lining up, you’d have to squint to see a link between the video game and reality. Perhaps the 2024 edition of the game will need to buff the Chiefs — or at least make the referee AI a bit worse.

Editors' Recommendations

E3 2019: Madden NFL 20 feels like it might have the X-factor
madden nfl 20 cover athlete modes microtransaction release date screen 3

With Madden NFL 20, EA Tiburon seems to be catering to both enthusiasts and casual fans in equal measure. I often found it hard to distinguish the moment-to-moment gameplay from Madden NFL 19, so if you played last year, you'll feel right at home.

Still, a few new on-the-field features, if well-utilized by skilled players, could prove to be game changers. The new Superstar X-Factor mechanic can turn stars into superstars through good play, and new Run-Pass Option plays gives adept players more ways to let their skills shine.

Read more
Spoiler alert: The Patriots win. ‘Madden NFL 18’ already called Super Bowl 52
madden nfl 18 super bowl simulation tom brady

The New England Patriots will defeat the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 52, according to EA Sport's official simulation. The Madden NFL 18 simulation predicted a closely contested matchup, with the Patriots taking home the Lombardi trophy following a 24-20 victory.

The Eagles struck first on a touchdown scored by running back Jay Ajayi. While the Patriots moved the ball down the field with relative ease in the first quarter, the Eagles defense only gave up a field goal. Philadephia notched a field goal of its own as the first quarter wound down.

Read more
‘Madden NFL 18’ will have a brand-new story mode called Longshot
madden nfl 18 story mode reveale

Right at the start of EA Play, EA unveiled a new trailer for Madden NFL 18. But it wasn't just any ordinary Madden trailer, it was for a new game mode called "Longshot." Longshot is a story mode in the same vein as Journey mode in FIFA, which was first introduced in the soccer sim last year.

Longshot chronicles the journey of aspiring football player Devin Wade as he chases his dream of becoming an NFL legend. The trailer opens with a pickup truck driving under a 2013 state championship banner won by the Bullfrogs. It's not exactly clear where the story takes place, but based on footage showing Wade in a Texas Longhorns uniform, much of it may occur in Texas -- a state widely known for producing top football talent.

Read more